XAGUSD | Will NFP shift the current trend of Silver prices?

Macro approach:

  • Silver prices consolidated within a rebound as ceasefire progress and the US House vote against continuing escalation eased inflation and rate hike concerns.
  • The weakness of the US dollar and oil prices lifted the metal yesterday, though Hezbollah’s rejection of the ceasefire may keep uncertainty elevated.
  • Silver prices may hinge on Middle East developments and today’s NFP data.

Technical approach:

  • XAGUSD broke the ascending trendline after rejecting both EMAs. The price is below both diverging EMAs, suggesting a potential shift to a downtrend.
  • If XAGUSD breaks below the support at 71.20, it may decline toward the subsequent support at 64.50.
  • Conversely, remaining above 71.20 may prompt a retest of both EMAs and the broken ascending