- November 21, 2025
- Posted by: EWGFX
- Category: Technical analysis
Gold continues to lose momentum, slipping back under the 4,000$ psychological level as expectations of an aggressive Fed rate-cut cycle fade. With liquidity draining and structure leaning bearish, today’s focus is on two critical SMC zones that could define the next impulsive move.
Market Structure Overview
Price broke several internal structures on the way down, forming:
Multiple BoS signals confirming bearish order flow
A clean FVG Zone above acting as imbalance resistance
A fresh Buy Zone 4010–4004 (SL 4000) where liquidity sits
Current price is trading below the descending trendline, showing continued weakness—but the market is approaching a decision point.
Key Zones to Watch
SELL ZONE — 4076
OB + trendline confluence
Ideal for a reactional short if price retraces up to fill FVG
SL recommended above 4088–4090
Expectation: pullback → rejection → continuation lower
BUY ZONE — 4010–4004
Major liquidity pool
Aligns with deeper discount pricing
Clean reaction expected for intraday longs if tapped
SL under 4000
Target (Swing)
3962–3960
Liquidity draw + untested demand zone
The bearish leg remains intact unless structure flips at 4130.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection from Sell Zone
→ Price retests 4076
→ Forms M15 CHoCH
→ Short toward 4010 → 3962
Scenario 2 – Sweep of Buy Zone
→ Price sweeps below 4004
→ Strong reaction
→ Long targeting 4130
(Only valid if liquidity sweep + CHoCH appears)
Karina’s Insight
“When price trends quietly, liquidity speaks the loudest. Let the zones guide your patience — not emotion.”